Phillies vs. Reds: Complete Game Guide (July 5, 2025)
What You Need to Know at a Glance
As anticipation builds for the upcoming game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds, we’ve prepared an all-inclusive preview to set the stage:
Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025, at 4:05 PM.
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, located in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Ticketing Info: Catch your seats through StubHub.
TV Broadcast: Watch the matchup live via FanDuel Sportsbook’s regional network (FDSOH).
Online Streaming: Following the action is easy with Fubo.
Betting Picks: Access live betting lines and place your wagers at BetMGM (sign-up available via our exclusive link), FanDuel, or Caesars.
Game Odds: Let’s Break Them Down
Here’s a side-by-side comparison of odds across three major sportsbooks:
Market BetMGM FanDuel Caesars
Game Total 8.5 runs (–105) 8.5 runs (–114) 8.5 runs (–105)
Phillies ML –175 –184 –178
Reds ML +145 +154 +150
Phillies RL –1.5 (+125) –1.5 (+114) –1.5 (+118)
Reds RL +1.5 (–150) +1.5 (–137) +1.5 (–140)
The game total, or over/under, hovers at 8.5 runs across all platforms.
Philadelphia is favored on the moneyline, with odds ranging from –175 to –184, reflecting bettors’ confidence, especially on FanDuel.
Cincinnati provides value at +145 to +154, while the runline shows Phillies at –1.5 with added odds, and Reds at +1.5 around –140.
Interested in betting? BetMGM will let you put money on the game—just use our link to sign up and get started.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
Team Snapshot
The Reds enter the contest with a respectable 46‑42 record, positioned 7 games back in the National League Central. Their away performance sits nearly at parity (22‑23), while their division record stands at 11‑15. These metrics paint a picture of a team capable of strong stretches but inconsistent within the division.
Offensive Strengths
Elly De La Cruz, the dynamic shortstop, is hitting .276 with 18 HR and 60 RBI, leading the club’s power production and run-scoring.
Spencer Steer and Matt McLain offer consistent contributions, while TJ Friedl holds a .283 average with 8 homers, and Santiago Espinal supports infield depth.
Back-up positions include Tyler Stephenson (DH), Christian Encarnacion‑Strand (1B), Jose Trevino (C), and Rece Hinds (RF)—most of whom have had modest offensive seasons.
Projected Reds Lineup:
1. TJ Friedl (CF): .283 / 8 HR / 31 RBI
2. Santiago Espinal (3B): .242 / 0 HR / 14 RBI
3. Elly De La Cruz (SS): .276 / 18 HR / 60 RBI
4. Tyler Stephenson (DH): .238 / 6 HR / 25 RBI
5. Christian Encarnacion‑Strand (1B): .206 / 6 HR / 19 RBI
6. Spencer Steer (LF): .256 / 10 HR / 37 RBI
7. Jose Trevino (C): .285 / 4 HR / 14 RBI
8. Rece Hinds (RF): .125 / 2 HR / 3 RBI
9. Matt McLain (2B): .211 / 9 HR / 31 RBI
Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo
Lodolo gets the nod for the Reds, carrying a 3.52 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, with a 5‑5 record. He’s been a consistent force, anchoring Cincinnati’s rotation and aiming to shut down Philadelphia’s lineup.
Recent Performance
The Reds are emerging from a pair of victories over the Phillies and Red Sox—winning 9‑6 and 8‑4, respectively.
Solid offensive output is backed by their team batting average of .248 (eighth in MLB).
Pitching-wise, they hold a 3.95 ERA (16th overall).
Managerial Edge: Terry Francona leads the staff, bringing veteran strategic insight and playoff experience to the dugout.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
Team Snapshot
Philadelphia demonstrated consistent excellence with a 51‑37 record and a strong 28‑16 mark at home. Their offensive balance and power are well-reflected by top-tier hitters and league rankings:
Team BA: .257 (3rd in MLB)
OBP: .329 (2nd)
ERA: 3.76 (12th)
Offensive Firepower
Kyle Schwarber: Leads the squad with 26 HR, firmly in the top five league-wide.
Trea Turner: Enjoys a stellar season at .299, providing speed and consistency.
Other notable contributors: Bryce Harper (.260 / 9 HR), Alec Bohm (.282), Nick Castellanos (.278), and catcher J.T. Realmuto (.255), each adding crucial RBI and power.
Projected Phillies Lineup:
1. Trea Turner (SS): .299 / 11 HR / 39 RBI
2. Bryce Harper (1B): .260 / 9 HR / 34 RBI
3. Kyle Schwarber (DH): .249 / 26 HR / 60 RBI
4. Alec Bohm (3B): .282 / 7 HR / 39 RBI
5. Nick Castellanos (RF): .278 / 11 HR / 49 RBI
6. J.T. Realmuto (C): .255 / 5 HR / 28 RBI
7. Edmundo Sosa (2B): .277 / 2 HR / 17 RBI
8. Otto Kemp (LF): .260 / 1 HR / 10 RBI
9. Johan Rojas (CF): .231 / 1 HR / 15 RBI
Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez
Enjoying an impressive 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP, Suárez (7‑2) brings consistency and composure to Philadelphia’s rotation. He’s expected to frustrate Cincinnati’s hitters and tighten the upper hand for the Phillies.
Recent Trends
In their last encounter, the Phillies dropped a 9‑6 decision, though they recorded 14 hits—highlighting potential offensive inconsistencies despite solid contact.
Despite that hiccup, Philadelphia’s home dominance (28‑16) remains a major talking point.
Head-to-Head Context & Trends
1. Series Outcomes: The Reds recently swept wins over the Phillies (9‑6) and Red Sox (8‑4), signaling momentum shifts.
2. Home Advantage: Phillies hold a notable edge at Citizens Bank Park, with superior home stats.
3. Rotation Matchup: Elite pitching contrast: Suárez’s 2.00 ERA vs. Lodolo’s 3.52 ERA, a potentially decisive factor.
4. Offensive Matchups: Phillies bring power and averages; Reds lean on streakiness and situational offense.
5. Motivational Stakes: Philadelphia seeks rebound and momentum at home; Cincinnati aims to solidify its position atop the division race.
Betting Angle: What You Should Consider
1. Squad Strengths: Phillies offer balanced offense with power hitters, while Reds showcase speed and middle-of-the-lineup pop.
2. Pitching Duel: Ranger Suárez’s dominant season could overpower, but Lodolo is no pushover.
3. Runline Impact: Reds sit at +1.5 (–140 to –150); Phillies at –1.5 (+114 to +125)—choose between betting on a tight game or a blowout.
4. Total Runs: Committed at 8.5, lean “over” if you expect both lineups to click; pick “under” if pitching dominates.
5. Moneyline Insight: Phillies (–175 to –184) demand a price, while Reds present an underdog’s reward (+145 to +154).
Exclusive Offers: BetMGM currently offers full access to this game. Use our sign-up link to place your bets, earn bonuses, and explore live odds.
Quick Recap: Reds vs. Phillies Comparison
Category Cincinnati Reds Philadelphia Phillies
Season Record 46‑42 (7 games back, strong pace) 51‑37 (hot division contender)
Home/Road Record Road: 22‑23, Division: 11‑15 Home: 28‑16, strong at CBP
Batting Avg (Team) .248 (8th in MLB) .257 (3rd)
ERA (Team) 3.95 (16th) 3.76 (12th)
Top Batter Elly De La Cruz (.276 / 18 HR) Kyle Schwarber (26 HR)
Key Pitcher Nick Lodolo (3.52 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) Ranger Suárez (2.00 ERA)
Game-Day Details
Date & Time: July 5, 2025 – First pitch at 4:05 PM
Broadcast: TV viewers on FDSOH; streaming via Fubo
Tickets: Available at StubHub
Betting Platforms: Lines open now at BetMGM, FanDuel, and Caesars
Final Take & Betting Strategy
Pick: If you trust Suárez and a balanced Phillies attack, back Philadelphia on the moneyline or –1.5 runline.
Upset Potential: Reds at +145 to +154 look appealing if Lodolo outperforms and Cincinnati’s bats stay hot.
Total Run Focus: Expecting fireworks? Back the over 8.5; anticipating pitching control? Go under.
Moneyline Tip: Phillies carry the odds—but grinding victories at home are in their DNA.
Ultimately, pick based on what you believe: superior pitching? Go with the Phillies. Hungry underdogs? Reds can surprise.
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Summary
Here’s everything you need:
Where & When: Citizens Bank Park | 4:05 PM | July 5, 2025
How to Watch/Stream: FDSOH / Fubo
Ticket Access: StubHub
Pitching Matchup: Ranger Suárez (2.00 ERA) vs. Nick Lodolo (3.52 ERA)
Key Players: Schwarber, Turner, De La Cruz, Lodolo
Betting Highlights:
Game Total: 8.5 runs
Moneylines: Phillies favored; Reds underdogs
Runlines: ±1.5 run options with value
Use our BetMGM link to dive into the wagering experience!
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